China, Worried About Unrest, Will Subsidize Food for the Poor

November 17, 2010 - 10:03 AM

Beijing (AP) - China's government announced food subsidies for poor families Wednesday as it tries to cool a double-digit surge in prices that communist leaders worry might stir unrest.

The Cabinet promised to ease shortages of vegetables and grain that helped push up food prices by more than 10 percent in October. It promised more supplies of diesel to end fuel shortages that have disrupted trucking and industry.

The Cabinet said it was not ordering direct price controls but said they could be imposed if necessary. The statement gave no details of the subsidies or how the government would try to increase food supplies.

Inflation is politically volatile in China, where poor families spend up to half their incomes on food. Rising incomes have helped to offset price hikes, but inflation erodes gains that help support the ruling Communist Party's claim to power.

"Inflation is one of the biggest political issues today," said Robert Broadfoot, managing director of the Political and Economic Risk Consultancy in Hong Kong. "I think you're going to see isolated demonstrations over living costs."

The jump in food prices, which has been blamed on summer storms that damaged crops, pushed inflation to a 25-month high of 4.4 percent in October -- well above the government's 3 percent target.

Surging food prices are not confined to China with agriculture in other countries also hurt by unpredictable weather from drought to storms and floods.

The U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization on Wednesday said global prices of most commodities are up sharply from last year and further spikes are likely unless production of major food crops rises.

The international community must remain vigilant against further supply shocks in 2011, the FAO said in its Food Outlook report.

The Chinese announcement said Beijing will release stockpiles of grain, cooking oil and sugar to increase supplies in the market. It promised more money to subsidize school meals for poor children and said local authorities were ordered to increase supplies of vegetables.

The announcement came after China's stock market closed but the benchmark Shanghai index lost 2 percent Wednesday after state media cited Premier Wen Jiabao as saying Beijing was preparing steps to combat inflation. Investors worry that economic controls might slow China's declining growth further and hurt company profits.

"Investors are panicked about moves in monetary tightening due to Wen's comments, so they would rather sell than wait for the change," said Liu Kan, a market analyst for Guoyuan Securities in Shanghai.

McDonald's Corp. raised prices of hamburgers, drinks and other items by 0.5 to 1 yuan (7 to 15 cents) due to higher costs, the official Xinhua News Agency said. In a written response to questions, the company cited "rise of commodity cost" but gave no details.

The jump in food costs came as Beijing is trying to steer China's rapid growth to a more manageable level and restore normal conditions following its stimulus-fueled rebound from the global crisis. Banks were ordered last week to increase reserves to curb loan growth.

A report by a government think tank this month suggested inflation might be even higher than reported because official data fail to fully account for costs of services and housing.

The economy also faces strains from diesel shortages triggered by government conservation efforts. Authorities have imposed rolling blackouts on factories to meet energy-saving goals, prompting thousands to buy their own diesel-powered generators, which boosted demand at a time when industry analysts say China's major state-owned oil companies are withholding supplies in anticipation of a rise in the government-set price. That has led to rationing and long lines at filling stations, disrupting cargo shipments.

The ruling Communist Party's ability to manage inflation could play a key role in the impending handover of power to a new generation of leaders, Broadfoot said.

"They're going to be talking about inflation because it has a direct impact on social stability," he said. "Leaders who were going to be promoted, if there are protests, won't be promoted. In those areas where stability was maintained, those leaders will get the inside edge on being promoted."

Analysts have warned that stimulus money and a flood of bank lending coursing through the economy might add to pressure for prices to rise in other sectors.

On Tuesday, a Commerce Ministry spokesman said the government is releasing stockpiles of pork and sugar to increase supplies in the market and curb price rises.

Some analysts say food price inflation has passed its peak and should decline but Chinese media say the cost of some basic goods is still rising strongly.

The price of sugar rose 1 percent in the first week of November over a week earlier, meat and eggs by 0.8 percent and cooking oil by 0.5 percent, according to Xinhua.

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Associated Press researcher Ji Chen in Shanghai contributed.