Latest Polls Put New Hampshire Primary Races Close

July 7, 2008 - 8:25 PM


Note: Clarifies results of Newsweek poll.

Concord, NH (CNSNews.com) - With the New Hampshire Primary just over a week away, two late polls show the races to be very close.

A survey, done for the Concord Monitor newspaper, shows Arizona Sen. John McCain leading Texas Gov. George W. Bush by a margin of 35 to 32 percent. With a six-point margin of error, the race is a statistical dead heat.

Steve Forbes followed with 13 percent; Alan Keyes had six percent; Gary Bauer registered four percent, while U.S. Sen. Orrin Hatch came in at one percent. Eight percent remain undecided.

On the Democratic race, Vice President Al Gore was favored by 45 percent, with former New Jersey Sen. Bill Bradley on his heels at 44 percent. Eleven percent of those surveyed remained undecided.

The survey, of 339 likely Republican primary voters and 302 likely Democratic voters, was conducted Tuesday and Wednesday, was released Saturday. It was done by Mason-Dixon Polling Research.

A Newsweek Poll of Granite State voters showed Bush recapturing the lead over McCain, possibly as a result of his continued hammering of the Arizona senator over their respective tax plans.

The survey, with a six point margin of error, shows Bush leading McCain 40 to 31, followed by Forbes at 14 percent, and Keyes at seven percent and Hatch and Bauer at one percent.

On the Democratic side, Gore leads Bradley 51 to 40 percent.

According to the survey, Gore was seen by Democrats as "likely to get things done as president."

The Newsweek survey, conducted by Princeton Survey Research, was taken Thursday and Friday and released Sunday.