McCain Holds onto Five-Point Lead
September 9, 2008 - 2:01 PMGOP presidential candidate John McCain held onto his five-point lead in the latest Gallup poll, leading Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama 49 percent to 44 percent.
The poll, taken Sept. 6-8 among 2,737 registered voters with a margin of error of plus or minus two percentage points, shows McCain held onto the six-point increase he saw after the Republican National Convention.
Obama had been consistently in the lead over McCain, but historical Gallup data taken since 1964 shows that the candidate who is in the lead following the second convention usually stays in the lead a month after the convention.
The exception to this polling trend was seen in 1980, when Jimmy Carter had a one-point advantage over Ronald Reagan after the Democratic National Convention, but Carter and Reagan were tied a month after Carter’s nomination.