Reason magazine reported last month that local officials' decisions about whether to reopen K-12 schools were driven by "politics, not safety." It noted that Jon Valant, a senior fellow at the liberal Brookings Institution, recently found that
"COVID-19 risk was not statistically related to school district reopening decisions. Valant's analysis found school district reopening decisions are instead related to people's political leanings and support for President Donald Trump...the less support Trump had in an area, the less likely that school district is to offer in-person learning right now."
Closing schools harms the economy, by forcing many parents to stop working to stay home with their kids. That in turn helps elect Joe Biden, who currently leads Donald Trump in public opinion polls. Economic models show that the worse the economy, the more likely a president is to lose an election to his challenger.
"On Wednesday, audio surfaced of Los Angeles County Public Health Director Barbara Ferrer saying that K-12 schools in America’s largest county likely will not open until after the November election....
'We don’t realistically anticipate that we would be moving to either tier 2 or to reopening K-12 schools at least until after the election, in early November,' Ferrer said. 'When we look at the timing of everything, it seems to us a more realistic approach to this would be to think that we’re going to be where we are now until we are done with the election.'"
Keeping schools closed until the election is purely about politics. It has nothing to do with students' health. Even if a new president is elected, he won't take office until more than two months after the election -- Jan. 20, 2021. So the election won't have any immediate effect on healthcare policy or the fight against COVID.
Keeping schools closed for political reasons harms children. As syndicated columnist Phil Kerpen notes, "school closures kill more children than COVID."
Indeed, the federal Centers for Disease Control has warned that “extended school closure is harmful to children,” in its guidance about “The Importance of Reopening America’s Schools This Fall.”
The CDC notes that closing schools “can lead to severe learning loss.” Moreover, “extended closures can be harmful to children’s mental health and can increase the likelihood that children engage in unhealthy behaviors.” A “notable increase” in child “abuse” has occurred during the recent school closures.
As the head of the CDC noted that, among the young, “we’re seeing, sadly, far greater suicides now than we are deaths from COVID. We’re seeing far greater deaths from drug overdose that are above excess, that we had as background, than we are seeing deaths from COVID.”
In most of Europe, schools have reopened or never closed. That's true even in countries hit harder by COVID than the U.S., such as the United Kingdom. British schools reopened with very little COVID spread among either students or staff.
"COVID-19 has not caused the deaths of any otherwise healthy schoolchildren" in the United Kingdom, even though that country had a higher overall death rate from COVID-19 than the U.S., according to the Independent.
Nor does the coronavirus cause many serious illnesses among children. Quite the contrary: recently, a British Medical Journal "study was published which found the need for children to have hospital treatment for COVID-19 was "tiny" and critical care "even tinier."
Studies find that children are much less likely to contract the virus than adults, and also much less likely to spread it -- especially those under age 10. Public health officials in Switzerland announced that children under 10 could hug their grandparents again because they pose them so little risk.
A German study found no evidence of coronavirus spread in schools there. A commentary published in the journal Pediatrics, the official peer-reviewed journal of the American Academy of Pediatrics, concluded that young children seldom transmit COVID-19 to each other or to adults, weighing in favor of reopening the schools.
Hans Bader practices law in Washington, D.C. After studying economics and history at the University of Virginia and law at Harvard, he practiced civil-rights, international-trade, and constitutional law. He also once worked in the Education Department.